One of the few traditional Conservatives to have served on the Tory front bench under Cameron, Paterson was Secretary of State for Northern Ireland before being promoted to the more high profile role of Secretary of State for Defra.

Candidate of the day

Owen Paterson

One day to go and Sir John Major has weighed in. “Labour divides to rule. To win votes they will turn rich against poor; north against south; worker against boss." We hope we don't wake up with them on Friday.

Hero of the day

Sir John Major

Another awful Labour woman. The fact Ed Miliband’s carved his pledges in stone doesn't mean he might not break them, campaign chief Lucy Powell has said.

Villain of the day

Lucy Powell

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THE REAL CONSERVATIVE MANIFESTO

Back marriage. Restore grammar schools. Leave the EU.

Cerberus

Cerberus

Cerberus writes a blog every Monday on the state of modern Britain.
All posts by Cerberus

Cerberus: It is suicidal for the Tories to junk sound money

In office but not in power. That best sums up the plight of Theresa May and her shell-shocked government in the wake of the election marked by shattered expectations and the startling emergence of sub-Marxist Corbynism as a credible political force. The stuffing has been knocked out of a Conservative government that only three months […]

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Cerberus: Tories should be afraid, very afraid

A simple postscript to the election inquest tells us why the Conservatives did far worse than expected, and why they will do even less well in the future. A friend of mine has a child at a London primary school. The school had its own election on June 8. The result? Labour 300 votes; the […]

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Cerberus: May’s authority is fatally damaged

Hands up. I got it wrong. Yes, the Tory vote did jump 6 points, exactly as I predicted. But Labour rose further and faster – to 41 per cent of the electorate. Jeremy Corbyn is much mocked for wanting to take Britain back to the strife-torn, impoverished 1970s, but in one respect he has succeeded […]

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Cerberus’s Election Prediction: An overall Conservative majority of 76

Predicted share of the vote: Conservatives 44 per cent; Labour 33 per cent; Lib Dems 10 per cent; Ukip 4 per cent; SNP 4 per cent; Greens 2 per cent; others 3 per cent. Seats: Conservatives 363 (up 32 on 2015); Labour 209 (down 23); Lib Dems 5 (down 3); Ukip 0 (down 1); SNP […]

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Cerberus’s Election Watch: The old are set to whip the young all over again

So a bit like Brexit, the election comes down to the old versus the young. The old, with varying degrees of enthusiasm, will back Theresa May and her largely invisible team. Many will do so not because they have any great faith in her or the Conservatives but because the alternative is too awful to […]

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Cerberus’s Election Watch: Corbyn’s Young Turks need to turn out in their droves to stop May

What to make of the opinion polls? Yesterday, the pound dipped on the strength of a Times splash headlined “Shock poll predicts Tory losses” then bounced back after a Panelbase survey had the Conservatives increasing their lead over Labour to 15 points – quite enough for a landslide. How can reputable professional pollsters be getting […]

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