Tuesday, January 25, 2022
HomeNewsAs Earth cools, an Arctic future threatens

As Earth cools, an Arctic future threatens

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THE great thing about free speech as it used to exist before the age of Big Tech was that it provided, in its various stations, a marketplace where any dubious idea could be chewed over by the great and the good, then pared down to emerge as a more coherent thesis, or be rejected as dogma, or ideology. 

Take ‘man-made climate change’, now a settled science according to the BBC – no further debate is required or allowed to pollute the airwaves.  

Armed with this ‘settled science’, journeyman policymakers have led the charge towards a world where fossil fuels, which have created then serviced what we know as civilisation, are no longer needed … because the world is warming, because of the burning of fossil fuels, because of free market capitalism which relies on fossil fuels, burned by man.  

The consequences of the political consensus being wrong on this would be catastrophic and yet, ominously, the evidence is beginning to stack up against the United Nations, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the EU, Davos and poor henpecked Boris Johnson in a way that should alarm us all.  

It would, if we were allowed to know what the science was really saying out there beyond the cultural Marxist firewall. 

The facts, the science, uncorrupted by any ideological filter, are beginning to point in one direction. The world is getting colder, a lot colder, and the ideological construct of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is being exposed. 

New satellite research published by the GISS (Goddard Institute for Space Studies) NCDC (National Climatic Data Centre of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) and the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, has shown a rapid cooling of Earth’s surface temperature over the last five years.  

Evidence enough for Dr Henrik Svensmark, professor in the Division of Solar System Physics at the Danish National Space Institute in Copenhagen, to conclude that: ‘Global warming has stopped and a cooling is beginning.’ 

Some of the first ever telescopic observations of our nearest star were made by the astronomer Galileo in 1611. One of the first things he noticed was the presence of dark blemishes on the sun’s surface, sunspots – regions on the solar surface where the energy supply from the solar interior is reduced because of strong magnetic fields.  

We know that the number of sunspots rises and falls in approximately 11-year cycles. Solar Cycle 24 is now over, a cycle that was mostly without sunspots, where the sun was spot-free for 90 per cent of the time, making the period of activity at the end of Solar Cycle 24 and the beginning of Cycle 25 one of the quietest ever observed since 1645. So what has that got to do with the price of fish, or grain, or electricity?  

Two centuries ago, the astronomer William Herschel noticed that the price of grain always seemed to fall when the number of sunspots rose. It was the kind of observation that would get you cancelled today, but it turned out he was right.   

When the sun was at its hottest, more sunspots showed up and the temperature on Earth always seemed to be warmer, making grain grow faster and causing prices to fall.   

Herschel concluded that more sunspots deliver more energy to the atmosphere so that global temperatures rise and that even small changes in solar activity could affect our climate.   

He observed the sun from Dessau, Germany, from 1826 to 1868 and made yearly sunspot counts. Historical records of these pesky sunspots revealed to Herschel the greatest mystery in astronomical history: Why had all of the sunspots disappeared between 1645 and 1715 and what happened after that? 

Alarmingly, there was a brief lag and then it got cold, so cold it became known as the Little Ice Age in Europe, so cold that the Thames froze solid every winter and frost fairs were held on its rock-solid surface.   

The Russian solar physicists Galina Mashnich and Vladimir Bashkirtsev have a $10,000 bet with British climate expert James Annan. The pair, based in Irkutsk at the Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics, say that global temperatures are driven more by changes in the sun’s activity than by greenhouse gases. 

Their bet is that Earth warms and cools in response to changes in the number and size of sunspots, and as the sun is expected to enter a less active phase over the next few decades, they are confident there will be a big drop in global temperatures.  

This possibility was discussed during the 2015 National Astronomy Meeting in Llandudno, North Wales, by Professor Valentina Zharkova, of Northumbria University, alongside an international group of scientists. It received zero attention from the broadcast media.  

Professor Zharkova described the research as ‘the first serious prediction of a reduction of solar activity that might affect human lives’. According to her model, between 2030 and 2040 there will be a huge reduction in solar activity, bringing a return of Arctic temperatures to Europe and beyond.  

We should be concerned. She may be right. In the Northern Hemisphere, 2021 was one of coldest in the last 600 years, with temperatures at the North Pole below average every day in July.  

It was a very good year for polar bears and between the months of April and September, the South Pole averaged a temperature of minus 61.1C (minus 78F), the region’s coldest six-month spell ever recorded.  

It’s also getting colder in the Southern Hemisphere, where last year New South Wales in Australia recorded its coldest November ever. By early October, Western Australia had seen its fifth snowfall of the year, the second-highest on record.  

It gets a lot colder in Germany than in Australia, but such is the grip of Green that even the necessities of being able to eat and keep warm are, it seems, of secondary importance.  

After mass immigration, Frau Merkel’s parting gift to the once-mighty German economy will be the complete shutdown of its last three nuclear plants in Neckarwestheim, Essenbach and Emsland in 2022. The timing could not have been better, with Europe’s average gas price now ten times higher than it was in January 2021 and with electricity prices following suit.  

Germany’s new coalition/Green government under Olaf Scholz has decided to remove coal completely from the German energy equation by 2030, then go 100 per cent renewable by 2050 – a commitment that has also been made in Britain by the current Conservative government. 

The ‘science’ and its vector intelligence is shutting down the German economy over the untested theory of man-made global warming, just as it did with Covid. It’s the biggest gamble ever placed on our prosperity and survival.  

Driven by the Green lobby, our own government is deciding not to invest in any more oil, natural gas or coal – despite knowing that solar and wind power, intermittent energy sources that cannot be stored, are currently of no practical use in providing baseload energy generation, the stuff that keeps the lights on and prevents us from freezing in winter.  

The rush to decarbonise by 2050 is a game of Russian roulette being played, on the taxpayers’ behalf, by a fearful political elite. Their hope is that they will not be around long enough to witness the gun go off.  

At the very least, the evidence now stacking up for a return to colder climatic conditions justifies an open and honest debate before we are forced to live with the consequences of this political Munchausen by proxy. Whether right or wrong, the immediate future points to us all being a lot colder and a lot poorer. 

Wouldn’t a broadening of the discussion away from the climate zealots and politicos who say theirs is the only opinion allowed on the matter be advisable before it is too late? 

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Gavin Cooke
Gavin Cooke is a climatologist and the author of Frozen Britain (John Blake Ltd).

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