TODAY’S silly climate-change story concerns the weather in London, which is going to resemble that of Barcelona by 2050. It’s in the Guardian, so you will probably want to discount its factual accuracy anyway, but if by some mischance they have got it right, well it sounds great, I’m sure you’ll agree.
Unfortunately, the authors of the study have thought of that, and assure us that this will involve severe droughts and a dramatic summer temperature increase: fully five degrees Celsius.
We’ve heard it all before, of course. Back in 2005, we were told by the BBC that the UK would face a Mediterreanean climate by 2050, with the possibility of ‘rolling lawns and herbaceous borders . . . ousted by palms and eucalyptus’.
We are now nearly halfway along the timeline to the outcome of that prediction, so it’s interesting to see how things are panning out. We should be a bit warmer and a bit drier, shouldn’t we?
Unfortunately, if you look at the Central England Temperature Record, which is the official climate measure for UK temperatures, you find that not much has changed at all. Temperatures have hardly budged for 20 years.
If you calculate a trend line from 2004 or 2005, it’s rising ever so slightly, but at the current rate we’d be less than half a degree warmer in 2050. That would still leave us a lot cooler than Barcelona. Unfortunately.
And what about those droughts? Well, across the UK as a whole, rainfall is on an upward trend. This, however, is mostly due to increases in Scotland. In England, you will be hard pressed to find any discernible change.
So, once again, a tale of climate woe looks (ahem) somewhat spurious.
Not wanting to miss a possible angle in their climate alarmism campaign, the BBC picked up the story to flag on their youth-oriented Newsbeat. Just in case those gullible youngsters aren’t yet frightened enough.