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Monday, May 27, 2024
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Election reports that tell it how it isn’t

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IN CASE you have not had the time to dig out the actual figures for the voting in Thursday’s Blackpool South by-election, readers might be interested to see them – by that I mean the hard data. 

The MSM (especially the mendacious and deceitful Beeb) have been very keen to tell us how the electorate registered (by implication) a massive 26 per cent swing from the Tories to Labour and how their margin of victory was 7,607 votes, overturning the 2019 general election Tory majority of 3,690. But what they are very keen to keep hidden and will definitely not highlight for us are the actual number of votes cast for each party compared with 2019.    

So, here they are:

(There were a number of other minor candidates.)

These figures cast a somewhat different light on the picture as no doubt they would too nationwide, if checked. Contrary to the impression given by the broadcasters, no ‘extra’ people voted for Labour in Blackpool South. In fact their vote dropped by 14 per cent but they took the seat because the Tories’ vote collapsed. Of course, you could argue that it is excellent news that they lost the seat and, hopefully, this is a harbinger of a massive Tory wipe-out when the useless Sunak eventually calls a General Election. However Labour should not get too cocky on the basis of this result. The Tories stayed at home; they didn’t switch to Labour.  

The only party to increase the absolute number of votes were Reform UK, who added over 50 per cent to their figures. Sadly this is nowhere near enough to give them even a sniff of victory. I suppose one can take some comfort from the fact that both the Lib-Dems and the Greens suffered a significant fall in support, too.

The figures given by the MSM for the London mayoral election are equally misleading. Labour’s Sadiq Khan polled just over one million votes but the 40 per cent turnout means that only 17.7 per cent of registered voters supported him. Put another way, he is in office for the next four years with the endorsement of fewer than one in five Londoners. 

This of course was not as Sunday Times chief political commentator Tim Shipman told it in his newsletter yesterday. He simply reported how Sadiq Khan had wrapped up ‘a comfortable win by 44 per cent to 33 per cent over Tory Susan Hall’. 

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Roger Willbourn
Roger Willbourn
Roger Willbourn is retired and living in Cheltenham after a career in the ship-owning and ship management industries, much of it in Asia.

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