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Health chiefs damned by their own fiddled figures


The writer is in New Zealand.

THE New Zealand Ministry of Health has completely revised its presentation of Covid-19 statistics in order to better inform the New Zealand public’. This has caused some hollow laughter among statistically competent people as it seems that the ministry is unintentionally making the case for the unvaccinated.

Until now we have had a long series of Covid-19 data for infections, hospitalisations and deaths based on the consistent criteria provided by test results. This has enabled us to track the long-term trends. These are very clear. Over the last four months the vaccinated are becoming progressively more vulnerable to testing positive for Covid before or during hospitalisation (red line) while the unvaccinated are becoming less vulnerable (blue line).

The unvaccinated have been making up a smaller and smaller proportion of cases, hospitalisations and deaths. This is probably due to the growth of natural immunity due to prior infection. In contrast, as the effect of mRNA inoculation wanes, the vaccinated have been making up a larger proportion than their relative numbers suggest they should. This may also be due to immune deficiency caused by the vaccine although this is not yet clear from the limited figures available.

Although the MoH data provided until now had deficiencies, it forms a consistent series and thus the trends are objectively reliable.

This week the Ministry of Health abruptly adjusted its Covid data (including some historical figures) by a huge amount as follows:


The first thing to note is that these figures are incompatible with the previous figures. It will no longer be possible to gauge historical trends. This is because the method of counting Covid cases has changed. Technically speaking, there is a structural break in the data. The change in reporting is no longer based solely on the objective results of tests. Cases have been reclassified by MoH clinicians and administrators according to criteria which have not been fully revealed. These involve subjective judgments.

According to the MoH many individuals are in hospital for other conditions and their Covid diagnosis is therefore irrelevant, so these people have now been excluded from Covid statistics. The MoH says these revised figures are intended to give the public a better picture of the impact of Covid. Happily for the MoH, the Covid hospitalisation figures for the vaccinated have been adjusted downwards by very large percentages, while those for the unvaccinated have been adjusted down by only small percentages.

Before yesterday’s changes, the unvaccinated or ineligible formed 21.5 per cent of the population but only 17.5 per cent of the hospitalisations. After being recategorized they form 33.4 per cent of hospitalisations. According to the MoH this shows that the vaccine is working very well. We imagine there must be big sighs of relief at the MoH.

Are the new figures believable? Some of the adjustments are extreme and inexplicable. The number of Covid patients reported to be in ICU rose from 205 to 305 in the space of two days. Similarly the huge jump among the under-12s in hospital because of Covid, up by 16 per cent in two days, is not credible. Further analysis throws up many more questions.

But let’s leave aside for the moment our doubts about the objectivity of the new MoH adjustments; let’s say we believe them to be a reliable picture of Covid (which we don’t). The real information that the MoH is providing here with these new figures is actually far more startling and concerning than any face-value reduction in Covid caseloads. It is the reverse side of the coin that is so revealing and what they don’t say that is so important. Our question is: Why are there so many vaccinated people in hospital? If they are not there for Covid, what is wrong with them?

Two days ago One News reported that all-cause mortality in New Zealand has reached record levels in 2022, higher than any historical levels.

Key data is being withheld by MoH. They are not telling us why hospitalisations are increasing. Is it for cardiac conditions, strokes, cancers, or what? They are keeping mum. Why?

As many prominent scientists have pointed out, rising hospital caseloads point to immune deficiency as a consequence of mRNA vaccination. This could be the cause of excess all-cause mortality in NZ, but we cannot at this point decide definitively because the data on individual conditions is being withheld and possibly obfuscated by MoH. I and many others have requested this data without success.

There is another way to describe immune deficiency that will perhaps help you understand what is at stake – ‘loss of immune memory’. Our immunity is not just made up of our responses to childhood illnesses. Much if not most of our immunity arises from ancestral experiences of illnesses. Immunity is in large part a gift of successful evolutionary responses to historical illnesses which are then stored in our DNA. Our DNA is a treasure trove of ancestral health gifts.

The mRNA vaccines are reprogramming the epigenetic responses and functions of our immune system. By doing so, are they also wiping out part of our inherited immunity? Are mRNA vaccines subtracting the genetic wisdom of our ancestors and substituting hurried inventions in a biotech lab? If this is true, and the indications point strongly in this direction, I need hardly add that this is not only dangerous but potentially life-ending and species-threatening over the longer term. Note the Canadian government has announced that mRNA vaccination will be required at regular intervals into the distant future.

What do record levels of all-cause mortality in NZ and overseas imply? Let’s not beat around the bush here: only one conclusion can be reached, that longevity is decreasing for the first time in hundreds of years (with the exception of World Wars One and Two). We are going to be living shorter lives and the data released this week by the MoH tells us that this is not due to Covid.

From my statistical perspective, evidence is quietly mounting that mRNA Covid vaccination is the real culprit.

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Guy Hatchard
Guy Hatchard
Guy Hatchard PhD is a former senior manager at Genetic ID, a global food testing and certification company. He lives in New Zealand.

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