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Health regulators round the world ignore Covid vaccine damage evidence that’s staring them in the face


IN March of this year a paper on excess mortality was published in Medicine and Clinical Science, titled ‘Annual All-Cause Mortality Rate in Germany and Japan (2005 to 2022) With Focus on The Covid-19 Pandemic: Hypotheses and Trend Analyses’, authored by Hagen Scherb and Keiji Hayashi, from the Institute for Computational Biology in Munich and the Hayashi Pediatric Clinic in Osaka. It provided significant hard data on the very high mortality rates in these two countries associated with the two Covid-19 vaccination roll outs. 

Despite this and other similar all-cause data evidence, last month the International Coalition of Medicines Regulatory Authorities (ICMRA) published a statement that not only asserted the safety of Covid-19 vaccines but stated categorically there is no evidence that the vaccines have contributed to excess mortality during the pandemic, along with other unsubstantiated claims. 

The ICMRA is made up of 21 members and includes the regulatory authorities of the UK (the MHRA), Australia, Canada, China, the EU, France, Germany, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland and the US, and 14 associates including Denmark, Israel and Spain. 

In the face of mounting evidence to the contrary their report defiantly repeats the myth that Covid-19 vaccines significantly reduce the risk of severe infection, hospitalisation and death and have saved millions of lives worldwide. It insists they have a very good safety profile for all age groups and their benefits far outweigh the potential risks, that the vast majority of side effects are mild and short-term and that serious side effects are ‘very rare’ (occurring in fewer than one in 10,000 people). Astonishingly, it claims that medicines regulatory agencies around the world have implemented measures to reduce the risk of harm from these serious side effects; that reports of side effects after Covid-19 vaccination are continuously collected and evaluated by authorities, and that in most cases the reported side effects were not caused by the vaccine. It ends with the threat that false and misleading information about the safety of Covid-19 vaccines often exaggerates the frequency and severity of side effects, declaring that such information is most likely leading people to refuse vaccination and giving rise to many more deaths than vaccine adverse effects do. 

With none of the assertions contained in this statement consistent with stubborn reality, it becomes all the more important to reiterate the hard facts revealed in the German/Japanese excess deaths study detailed (with the relevant tables) in my full report here.

Germany and Japan are highly industrialised countries with large and ageing populations. In 2022, population sizes were 84.3million in Germany and 125million in Japan. From 2005 through 2019, both countries present essentially linearly increasing all-cause mortality baseline trends, the increase in Japan twice that in Germany. In Germany the overall mortality odds ratio per year was 1.010, while in Japan it was 1.019.

In order to establish what the Covid-19 pandemic meant in terms of mortality, it was necessary to analyse how much the annual all-cause mortality rates between 2020 to 2022 in Germany and Japan deviate from the trends estimated from the preceding years 2005 to 2019. This is what the authors of this study did, with truly striking results.

In the years 2011-2013 following the earthquake and tsunami in Japan significant excess mortalities occurred (p<0.05): The trend analysis of the mortality rates carried out by Scherb and Hayashi shows absolute excess deaths around 49,000 in 2011, 30,000 in 2012 and 23,000 in 2013.

Coming to the coronavirus pandemic in Japan, a significant under-mortality was observed in 2020 with odds ratio 0.971 (Fig 1). There is no significant excess mortality in Japan in 2020. However, a small in-significant mortality increase is seen in 2021 (odds ratio 1.008). This percentage excess of 0.80 translates into 11,547 additional deaths. So the classical characteristic of a pandemic, massive excess mortality, is thus not observed in Japan in 2020 or 2021.

However, in 2022 a very high mortality rate was reached with a dizzying 122,158 absolute excess deaths corresponding to 8.37 percent above expectation (odds ratio 1.085) (Fig 1 in my report).

The figures for Germany in 2020 show a mortality rate that is slightly increased relative to the extrapolated trend from 2005 to 2019 with an odds ratio of 1.019 (corresponding to 18,274 absolute excess deaths and an excess percentage of 1.89). 

In 2021 and 2022, on the contrary, similarly to Japan, the mortality rate excesses provided as percentages turn out to be 4.99 and 6.67 respectively. These excess percentages translate into 48,617 deaths above expectation in 2021, and 66,528 in 2022. By contrast, in 2020, a year with no Covid-19 mass vaccinations, the excess mortality amounts to just 1.89 per cent of the expectation. This excess in 2020 is less than half the excess mortality percentage under the Covid-19 vaccination campaign in 2021 of 4.99 percent (p= 0.001). In 2021 and 2022 overall, however, a very significant excess mortality of more than 5 per cent is observed which cannot be explained by direct effects of the pandemic.

It is clear the official fearmongering forecasts and the allegedly confirmed high death toll in 2020 from Covid-19 in high-income countries did not come true in Japan nor in Germany. To what extent then were the approx 5 to 10 per cent highly significantly increased mortalities in Germany and Japan in 2021 and 2022 due to the pandemic counter measures, including the vaccinations? These German Japanese findings make it extremely plausible they will have contributed to an increase in all-cause mortality in a majority of countries (Europe, USA, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, South Korea and Taiwan, among others). 

That is why it is essential to monitor national secular mortality trends now, and over the next years and to examine promptly (not in the future when evidence of causality may no longer be accessible or recoverable) the possible causes of significant excess mortality. 

The medicines regulatory agencies have yet to undertake this urgent task though it is their clear responsibility to do so. It is in this context that the denial and hubris of the ICMRA is so shocking and irresponsible. 

To start with, their claims that Covid-19 vaccines significantly reduced the risk of severe infection, hospitalisation and death from SARS-CoV-2 virus and potentially saved millions of lives worldwide have been very effectively challenged by Professor Norman Fenton and Martin Neil in numerous papers here.   

Likewise their ‘very good safety profile in all age groups’ has been widely rebutted – this is but one example here. Their claim that benefits far outweigh the potential risks is both heroic and unsubstantiated as is their statement that the vast majority of side effects are mild and short-term. Only ‘some very rare serious side effects’ contradicts the MHRA’s own admission that 74 per cent of published Yellow Card reports are serious. 

Nor is there any evidence that the UK’s MHRA has implemented any measures to reduce the risk of harm, nor undertaken active surveillance of the vaccine after use, as advised; and, like the US VAERS, has run only a passive surveillance system. 

Regardless of the doctrine imparted within this pronouncement, some objective data for even a single one of the numerous categorical statements about the efficacy and safety of Covid-19 vaccines would have been appreciated, beyond the bunch of flimsy quotes with which ICMRA so pompously supports its position. There are none. Not one.

In Spain, until December 31, 2022, a total of 84,650 notifications of adverse reactions in relation to Covid-19 vaccines have been registered in the database of the Spanish Pharmacovigilance System (FEDRA), of which 14,003 were considered serious and 500 had a fatal outcome. This register has been operational since 1983, and a total of 433,000 adverse drug reactions have since been included. In just 20 months, adverse reactions to Covid-19 vaccines represent no fewer than 19.5 per cent of all notifications recorded over 40 years in Spain. Given the passive nature of pharmacovigilance systems, which creates a serious problem of underreporting, as in the UK, the number of adverse events is actually much higher than the reported notifications (around an estimated factor of 31). This suggests an actual number of adverse reactions in Spain would amount to a total of 2,624,000, serious reactions with deaths related to Covid-19 vaccines of some 15,500 (probably many more considering the excess of 115,000 deaths in Germany in the first two years of the vaccination campaign).

Despite such a gigantic deviation as never seen before, together with the results of the Scherb and Hayashi analysis, the Spanish Medicines Agency (AEMPS) continues without adequately interpreting these data as a powerful alarm signal of the possible health risk for Covid-19 vaccine recipients. Yet much less worrisome alarms have caused the suspension of the marketing of other drugs – a stringent vigilance that is not being applied to Covid vaccines.

Any health authority that continues to ignore these data on excess mortality related to Covid-19 vaccines that have been promoted and sponsored by governments, and does not act firmly by suspending the vaccination campaign until a qualified and pertinent academic research can resolve whether or not there is a causal relationship, is fatally complicit in the irreparable damage caused to thousands of affected adults and children, incurring in a criminal offense detrimental to the life and rights of their country citizens with legal, political and moral consequences of gigantic proportions.

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Dr Rafael Bornstein
Dr Rafael Bornstein
Dr Bornstein is a haematology specialist and an expert in leukaemia, anaemia and coagulation treatments at the Hospital Central de la Cruz Roja, Madrid

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