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Saturday, April 13, 2024
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HomeClimate WatchThe climate scaremongers: Surprise! It’s hot in Spain

The climate scaremongers: Surprise! It’s hot in Spain

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THEY had a couple of hot days in Spain two weeks ago. According to the Guardian, it was a 1-in-40,000 years event, a claim based on ‘weather attribution’ computer models.

Weather attribution is a fairly new science, specifically introduced a few years ago to blame bad weather on global warming. These latest claims come, as most do, from an outfit called World Weather Attribution, (WWA), headed by climate scientists at Imperial College London who have long been at the forefront of climate alarmism.

WWA’s own website gives the game away: ‘Whenever an extreme weather or climate-related event occurs, the media and decision-makers ask the question to what extent it is influenced by climate change. For a few years now the scientific community has been able to answer that question for relatively simple extremes: hot and cold extremes, extreme precipitation and drought. This emerging field of climate science is called Extreme Event Attribution and was assessed to yield reliable estimates of changing risks of extreme weather by the US National Academy of Sciences.

‘The World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative has been founded to change this, and provide robust assessments on the role of climate change in the aftermath of the event . . . These results are disseminated through media channels, making our expertise available to provide additional explanations and context.’

In other words, the whole thing is media-driven, based on dodgy models and nothing to do with proper science. One of the leading experts in the analysis of extreme weather, Professor Roger Pielke Jr, has condemned the whole charade, saying ‘I can think of no other area of research where the relaxing of rigour and standards has been encouraged by researchers in order to generate claims more friendly to headlines, political advocacy and even lawsuits.’

This latest heatwave is said to have set a temperature record for April in Spain, but it was only 0.2C higher than the previous record – hardly a 40,000-year event! Moreover the record was set next to the tarmac at Cordoba Airport:

It is well accepted that temperatures can easily be two or three degrees higher in such locations, and no serious meteorologist would ever use temperature measurements there for climatology purposes.

The Guardian article went on to make other unsubstantiated claims. One was that heatwaves in Spain killed 4,000 last year. This allegation originated in a report from the WHO, which also included the provably false claim that heatwaves killed 3,200 here in the UK last summer. What the Guardian omitted to tell its readers is that cold weather kills many more than heat does in Spain, as a recent Lancet study proved:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(14)62114-0/fulltext#seccestitle130

They also said that Spanish farmers have been suffering from prolonged drought, with wheat particularly affected. There is no official data for this year, but the UN tells us that wheat production was at an all time high in 2021, and it has been steadily increasing for decades, climate change or no climate change.

https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#compare

Spain has always suffered from drought. The famines in 1904 to 1906 were so bad that they very nearly led to revolution. There is no evidence that the weather in Spain is any worse than it used to be.

Wind and solar farms subsidies on the rise again

The Contracts for Difference (CfD) scheme has already cost energy users billions in subsidies for renewable energy. Every year the amount paid out to wind farms and other renewables generators is increased for inflation.

This year’s price rise took effect on April 1, when the strike prices guaranteed to renewable generators by the government increased by 11.9 per cent. This will cost energy users an estimated £360million this year.

What is particularly pernicious about these annual increases is that they apply to the full strike price. Given that most of the cost of a wind or solar farm is the capital cost, the indexation should have applied only to the operational cost. Unsurprisingly, these businesses are raking in massive windfall profits as a result.

The CfD scheme was introduced by Ed Davey (now Sir Ed Davey, leader of the Liberal Democrats) when he was Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change during the coalition government. It was grossly negligent and a misuse of public money for him to have drawn up contracts guaranteeing full indexation of strike prices. No private business would have offered such generous terms. It is plainly evident that his only concern was to get as many wind farms built as he could, regardless of the cost to the public.

CfDs are not the only subsidies going up. The disastrous Renewable Obligation scheme (ROC), which was introduced during Tony Blair’s days, will cost 11.6 per cent more this year, adding an extra £640million to our electricity bills.

If you thought the Coronation Day weather was bad . . .

KING Charles’s coronation last Saturday was a bit of a damp affair, with plenty of showers around. But that was nothing like the weather which blasted his mother’s coronation 70 years ago.

The late Philip Eden, the leading weather historian of his time, published his account of the event in 2009. His account begins: 

‘A very large woman wreathed in smiles and a rather small austere-looking man rode down the Mall in an open carriage. The Queen of Tonga’s happy mien contrasted strongly with the lowering weather, and this particular image has proved to be one of the most enduring memories of our own Queen’s coronation day.

‘Weatherwise, June 2, 1953 was an atrocious day in the middle of a lengthy spell of atrocious weather. May that year had been a superb month with weeks of warm sunshine interspersed with occasional thundery downpours. Eight days before Coronation Day, on the Whit Monday holiday, the temperature soared to 31.7°C in London and Surrey but there was a sudden and complete change in the weather the following day.

‘A cold front brought thunder-showers and a sharp drop in temperature on May 26, and from then until the middle of June the British Isles lay between high pressure over the Atlantic, usually located somewhere between Ireland and Iceland, and low pressure over the near-continent. As a result the country lay under a very cool and moist northerly airflow throughout this period. June 2 itself was a miserable, November-like day in London as far as the weather was concerned, with dull skies, a chill wind and sporadic outbreaks of rain during the morning, although it dried out gradually later on. The afternoon temperature climbed no higher than 12°C, several degrees lower than the Queen’s wedding day in November six years before.

‘It could have been worse – other parts of England had torrential downpours that day and there were floods in Northumberland after 70mm of rain fell in short order. And the following day was even colder; the maximum on June 3 in London was 11°C, in Birmingham it was just 8°C, and at Aberdeen only 7°C.’

Philip Eden suggested it was the worst June weather of the century. Nowadays the Met Office would doubtlessly blame it on global warming!

He ends his story with this reminiscence: ‘Recalling the pictures of that procession down the Mall, I am also reminded of Noël Coward’s response when asked who Queen Sarote of Tonga’s companion was. “Her lunch,” he said.’

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Paul Homewood
Paul Homewood
Paul Homewood is a former accountant who blogs about climate change at Not a Lot of People Know That

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