CAN we believe the opinion polls? Yesterday’s Times reported that Rishi Sunak’s Budget had given the Conservative a bounce resulting in a 13 point lead over Labour, despite raising taxes to the highest level since the 1960s.
Then again, why would we go back to trusting polls, as I tweeted on reading the report?
‘It is fair to say that pollsters have not covered themselves in glory recently, with failures of varying magnitudes in the last three national elections,’ the chair of the British Polling Council inquiry into the failure of the 2015 election polls admitted in 2019 in an article that set out the methodological challenges that face them.
Could they be right this time? Is it possible that the Tories turning ever more leftwards are finding support to make up for the legions of past core voters who will never return to supporting their old party?
Feel free to discuss this and anything else on your mind.